Weekly briefing
Weekly conflict briefing
Condensed analysis of major conflict theatres, curated every week with a clear structure and markdown-ready formatting.
Members
get access to the full archive and deeper analysis.
Global conflicts explained every week
The weekly briefing combines OSINT evaluation, diplomatic developments, and military trends into a format that can be scanned quickly. Each edition covers hotspots such as Ukraine, the Middle East, the Sahel, or the Indo-Pacific and closes with an outlook for the next week.
- The latest week stays fully accessible, even without membership
- The archive and deeper analysis are reserved for members
- Markdown-ready content for fast reuse in briefings and notes
Public latest issue
The most recent calendar week remains publicly accessible and fully indexable by search engines.
Archive and timeline
Members can access every prior week and trace longer-term trends through the timeline.
Timeline
The latest week is public. All earlier weeks are reserved for members and shown with a soft blur.
Escalation Risks Rise Across Multiple Theatres
A volatile week with drone escalation in Ukraine, fresh airstrikes in the Middle East, and a coup attempt in West Africa.
Ukraine
Russia launched its largest drone barrage of 2025, deploying over 150 Shahed-type drones targeting energy infrastructure across central and western Ukraine. Ukrainian air defenses intercepted approximately 80% of incoming threats. Ground operations saw renewed Russian pushes toward Pokrovsk.
Key developments:
- Massive drone attack on Kyiv region; two power substations damaged
- Pokrovsk axis: Russian forces advanced under heavy mechanized assault
- EU announced new sanctions package targeting Russian drone component supply chains
- Zelensky called for accelerated F-16 delivery timelines
Middle East
Israeli airstrikes hit targets in southern Lebanon following a rocket barrage from Hezbollah-affiliated groups. The Gaza humanitarian corridor was temporarily suspended after a logistics dispute. Yemen's Houthis claimed a successful strike on a container vessel in the Gulf of Aden.
Key developments:
- IDF confirmed strikes on weapons depots in Tyre, southern Lebanon
- UNRWA warned of imminent famine conditions in northern Gaza
- US carrier group repositioned closer to the Strait of Hormuz
Asia-Pacific
Tensions in the Taiwan Strait rose after China conducted live-fire exercises in waters east of Taiwan. The Philippines reported a new standoff with Chinese coast guard vessels near Second Thomas Shoal. North Korea tested a new solid-fuel ICBM.
Key developments:
- PLA Navy conducted exercises simulating a blockade scenario
- Japan scrambled fighters 12 times in response to Chinese military aircraft
- ASEAN foreign ministers issued a joint statement calling for de-escalation
Outlook
The coming week is likely to see continued energy infrastructure targeting in Ukraine. Middle East tensions could escalate further if Lebanon retaliates. The Taiwan Strait situation warrants close monitoring as US diplomatic missions are scheduled in the region.
Frontline Pressure Mounts as Diplomatic Channels Narrow
Ukraine sees increased artillery exchanges while Middle East tensions rise amid stalled negotiations.
Ukraine
Frontline activity intensified across the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia axes. Ukrainian forces reported over 120 clashes along the contact line, with Russian forces making incremental gains near Chasiv Yar. Drone warfare continued to dominate, with both sides deploying FPV strikes at unprecedented rates.
Key developments:
- Russian forces advanced 1.2 km near Toretsk despite heavy losses
- Ukrainian long-range strikes targeted logistics hubs in occupied Luhansk
- NATO defense ministers met to discuss ammunition supply commitments
Middle East
Ceasefire negotiations in Gaza remained stalled as both sides accused the other of precondition violations. Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping continued, with two merchant vessels reporting near-misses. Iran-backed militia activity in Iraq saw a modest uptick.
Key developments:
- UN Security Council session on Gaza ended without new resolution
- Jordan recalled its ambassador from Israel over settlement expansion
- Oil prices spiked briefly on Strait of Hormuz tension reports
Africa
The Sahel region continued its security deterioration. Mali's military junta expanded operations in the north, while Burkina Faso reported new displacement waves. Sudan's civil war showed no signs of resolution, with humanitarian access severely restricted.
Outlook
Expect continued frontline pressure in Ukraine ahead of the spring offensive window. Middle East diplomacy faces a critical week with the Arab League summit approaching. Sahel instability likely to generate further displacement.
Older briefings are available to members only.
Unlock the full weekly briefing archive.
Unlock the member archive
Access every past week, extended analysis, and priority alerts from $4.99 per month.
- - Full weekly archive without blur
- - Deep-dive analysis and context graphics
- - Early warnings and real-time updates